Waffles' NFL Week Two Picks Against the Spread

Not gonna lie, rough start to the season at 6-10 against the spread. Luckily for me, everybody has a bad week from time to time, and there's still 16 weeks of picks left to make! I wasn't expecting Atlanta, Cleveland or Denver to look as bad as they did, and on the other hand I wasn't expecting the Redskins, Bengals or Texans to hang around til the very end of their respective games. That's enough with last week, lets move on to Week Two.

All lines courtesy of VegasInsider.com

CAROLINA (-6.5) over Tampa Bay

As I will make sure all of you who listen to the “VB in the Middle” show know, I HATE Thursday Night Football, and what a doozy of a game we have this week. Neither of these teams looked good in Week One action, so don’t expect much better on a short week. (Hooray for TNF!) The Panthers are a far better team however and I expect to see a lot of Christian McCaffrey in this one. Carolina will take care of business at home and send Bruce Arians’ squad back to Tampa 0-2. The Pick: Carolina 24 Tampa Bay 13

TENNESSEE (-3) over Indianapolis

The Titans were pretty darn impressive last week, throttling the Browns for a 30 point victory in Cleveland. I said in my AFC O/U win total post that Tennessee has a very talented roster outside of the QB, and I think last week shows just that. If Marcus Mariota plays at an above average level, the Titans will be tough to beat. The Colts would have won last week in LA against the Chargers, but 46 year old kicker Adam Vinatieri left SEVEN points on the field (They lost by six in OT) for the first time in his historic career. I like the Titans to cover the field goal spread in their home opener. The Pick: Tennessee 28 Indianapolis 24

LA Chargers (-2.5) over DETROIT

The Chargers barely escaped with an overtime victory over Indy last week at home, luckily for them they hit the road, where they were a perfect 8-0 in the regular season last year to take on a Lions team that allowed a rookie quarterback to overcome a double-digit 4th quarter deficit to give us our first tie of the 2019 NFL Season. If Kyler Murray can drop back and sling it 55 times on this defense for over 300 yards, imagine what Philip Rivers will do, even without Hunter Henry. The Pick: LA Chargers 33 Detroit 21

NY GIANTS (+2) over Buffalo

Buffalo gets to open up their 2019 campaign with back to back games at Metlife Stadium, circling the wagons in Week One to come back and beat the Jets 17-16. They did this with Josh Allen being fairly inept, just like he was for the majority of last season (I don’t care how many fantasy points he put up) he runs around like the pocket will suffocate him to death and throwing a pair of INT’s. The Giants on the other hand got crushed by the Cowboys down at Jerry World and were honestly never even in that game. I expect the G-men to rebound at home with a steady helping of Saquon Barkley, delaying the rumblings to replace Eli Manning with first round pick Daniel Jones for another few weeks at least. The Pick: NY GIANTS 21 Buffalo 17

Arizona (+13.5) over BALTIMORE

This line is a classic Week 2 overreaction, Baltimore absolutely destroyed the Dolphins last week, setting the franchise record for points scored in the process. This is the Dolphins we’re talking about, they are hot garbage and will be one of the worst teams of all time when the season ends. Kyler Murray looked good in his debut and clearly has the trust of the coaching staff (55 pass attempts for a rookie in his debut is mind-boggling) The Cards will hang in there, the Ravens will win this game by a comfortable margin, just not enough to cover that spread. The Pick: Baltimore 27 Arizona 17

New England (-19) over MIAMI

I’ve been going back and forth with this game ever since the lines were announced. The Patriots are the best team in football, the Dolphins are the worst. The Pats beat a team that will be in the playoff chase at the end of the season (i think) by a sound 30 points, Miami got dismantled through the air by a team that couldn’t throw the football last season. THIS SHOULD BE EASY, but whenever the Patriots visit South Florida, things get weird. They’ve only won in Dade County once in the past six years, I think they’re gonna break that trend with ease. The Pick: New England 35 Miami 13

Dallas (-5) over WASHINGTON

The Cowboys looked fantastic in their drubbing of the Giants last week, Washington jumped out to an early 17-0 lead over Philly but couldn’t seal the deal as they reverted back to who they really are in the second half. Dak Prescott wants to get paid and I think he’s going to air it out all over this secondary. Cowboys roll. The Pick: Dallas 31 Washington 14

Jacksonville (+8.5) over HOUSTON

It’s Gardner Minschew’s show in Jacksonville, and the 6th round pick looked like he can play when called upon after Nick Foles’ injury (Broken Collarbone) forced him out of the game against the Chiefs. The Texans on the other hand almost shocked the Saints in New Orleans on Monday Night, but in true Bill O’Brien-led team fashion, blew it. I feel like this game may turn into a shootout, with the Texans pulling away late to win, but not cover. The Pick: Houston 33 Jacksonville 27

PITTSBURGH (-4) over Seattle

Neither one of these teams looked impressive in their season openers. Pittsburgh was systematically dismantled by the Patriots, and the Seahawks survived a real scare from the Bengals at home. Pittsburgh needs this game far more than Seattle and I believe they’ll pay like it, also, I’ve always been skeptical of the Seahawks in the 1pm EST time slot. The Pick: Pittsburgh 27 Seattle 21

San Francisco (+1.5) over CINCINNATI

Seems like a lot of people are impressed and buying in on the Bengals after nearly beating the Seahawks in Seattle last Sunday. San Fran actually opened this week as the betting favorite before the line swung over to Cincinnati’s side. I’m sure the fact the Jimmy G was not at all impressive against the Bucs is a big part of the reason for that. I think Garopollo will look much better against this defense, and spare us all a week of “Do The 49ers have a QB problem” hot takez all next week. And I’m not ready to buy in on the Andy Dalton-John Ross connection yet. The Pick: San Francisco 27 Cincinnati 24

Minnesota (+3) over GREEN BAY

I have no idea what to think about the Packers, is their revamped defense good? Or, is Mitchell Trubisky just god awful? They’ll face a real test this week with Minnesota’s two-headed monster at Wide Receiver (Stefon Diggs/Adam Thielen) and Dalvin Cook out of the backfield. I don’t think Green Bay will be able to stop them. SKOL. The Pick: Minnesota 31 Green Bay 27

Kansas City (-8) over OAKLAND

The Raiders may have come out flying on Monday night, but I think that was more a result of Denver’s defense and also that Antonio Brown is no longer their problem. Kansas City dropped 40 on Jacksonville with ease, and even without Tyreek Hill for the next few weeks they will be tough to stop. Oakland won’t be able to keep up. The Pick: Kansas City 38 Oakland 27

New Orleans (+3) over LA RAMS

The Saints have been waiting all Spring and Summer for this one, and I think they were overlooking Houston last week at home, which is why they struggled to beat the Texans. The Rams beat Carolina, but Todd Gurley’s knee is looking like it’s going to be a real problem. I like the Saints it what should be the most entertaining game of Week Two. The Pick: New Orleans 35 LA Rams 31

Chicago (-2.5) over DENVER

A lot of us were caught off guard with how bad the Bears looked in Week One, but Denver didn’t look much better. I think Matt Nagy and his staff will have Chicago much more prepared for Week Two, hopefully getting rookie David Montgomery much more involved against The Broncos’ lackluster Run Defense. The Pick: Chicago 23 Denver 14

ATLANTA (+1.5) over Philadelphia

No chance the Falcons look as bad as they did against the Vikings in Week One, they’re far more talented than what they showed. The Eagles got lucky by coming to life, with Carson Wentz hitting DeSean Jackson twice for big play touchdowns, this will be a fun Sunday Night matchup, I like Atlanta to eek out a win at home. The Pick: Atlanta 34 Philadelphia 31

Cleveland (-2.5) over NY JETS

Sam D’Arnold has been ruled out with mono, Le’veon Bell has shoulder issues, and CJ Mosely is banged up. Factor in that the Browns are out to prove that last week was a fluke, this smells like a long night for gang green. Browns in a rout. The Pick: Cleveland 35 NY Jets 14

Last Week:

ATS: 6-10

Straight Up: 11-4-1



Dan Watkins, aka “Waffles” is the co-producer of the VB in the Middle Show here on WRKO! He is originally from Upstate New York but, don’t worry, he’s a huge Boston sports fan! Waffles graduated from URI a few years ago and tries to get down to... Read more


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