The bond market is getting more volatile as the 10-year Treasury climbs above 5.2%, pushing mortgage rates higher and raising questions about whether the move is becoming disorderly.

Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong discuss why bond yields are rising, why the move does not necessarily signal a loss of trust in the U.S. government, and how stronger economic data, sticky inflation, and expectations for Fed hikes are driving the selloff. They also break down the link between oil, diesel prices, and bond yields, why today’s energy disruptions may be more serious than past market scares, and how prediction markets and sports betting are blurring the line between investing and gambling.

Rising Treasury yields are pushing borrowing costs higher again, and the gap between today’s mortgage rates and existing homeowners’ rates is keeping more houses off the market.

Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong discuss why markets are drifting lower, why diesel prices remain under pressure, and why a proposed diesel export ban is drawing pushback from business groups. They also break down how low fixed-rate mortgages are limiting housing supply, why homeownership still carries major financial advantages, and what OpenAI’s latest security incidents could mean for AI agents, cyber risks, and retirement savings.

The bond market is back in focus as the 10-year Treasury climbs to levels not seen since before the financial crisis, raising new questions about mortgages, inflation, and the cost of borrowing.

Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong discuss why long-term Treasury yields are moving higher, why the low-rate environment of the 2010s may not be coming back soon, and how stronger nominal growth, higher inflation, AI investment, and federal deficits are shaping the bond market. They also break down what rising yields mean for mortgage rates and housing, whether Treasury could try to reduce long-term bond issuance, what John Williams’ latest comments suggest about Fed policy, and why U.S.-China trade talks may mostly preserve the status quo.

The 10-year Treasury is back above 5%, raising pressure on mortgages, borrowing costs, and parts of the market already feeling the effects of higher energy prices.

Chuck Zodda and Paul Lane discuss why the bond market is selling off, what rising yields may be signaling about nominal growth, inflation, and AI spending, and why markets are still being driven by a narrow group of AI-related stocks. They also break down whether the U.S. and China can realistically cooperate on AI security, why a first-time homebuyer subsidy could make housing affordability worse, the debate over Amazon drone deliveries, and why margin trading on prediction markets could create new risks.

AI continues to drive much of the market’s strength, but rising energy costs and higher interest rates are creating pressure across the rest of the economy.

Chuck Zodda and Paul Lane discuss whether AI stocks can keep carrying the market, why concerns about market concentration may be overstated, and how new AI agents like Meta’s Muse could affect companies built around sticky subscriptions. They also break down the debate over a possible diesel export ban, why it could lower prices briefly but create bigger problems later, and Todd Lutsky joins for Ask Todd to discuss long-term care costs, capital gains on a second home, and how irrevocable Medicaid trusts can be updated.

AI stocks are bouncing back, but the industry is still facing major questions about consumer adoption, liability, and whether the data center boom can keep powering the market.

Mike Armstrong and Paul Lane discuss Meta’s new AI agent, why the Magnificent Seven are roaring back, and whether companies like Meta and Google can turn consumer AI into a real business. They also break down how the stock market boom is encouraging more Americans to retire early, Corey Adams of Robert Half joins to discuss Gen Z’s changing expectations in the workplace, and Mike and Paul examine lawsuits facing OpenAI, skepticism around the data center boom, and the rising cost of youth sports.

Stocks are holding up as AI keeps driving market momentum, but higher diesel prices and elevated interest rates are creating pressure across much of the rest of the economy.

Mike Armstrong and Paul Lane discuss why the latest rally is still being led by tech and AI-related names, why a scary-sounding market signal from 1999 may not matter much, and how AI investment has become the dominant force behind both stock market gains and economic growth. They also break down the ripple effects of record-high diesel prices, the debate over a gas tax holiday in Massachusetts, why higher interest rates have not slowed the economy yet, and whether the U.S. bond market is really performing as well as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent claims.

Markets are holding near record highs, but investors are still trying to understand what bond yields, AI concentration, and higher borrowing costs are really signaling.

Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong discuss why stocks have been stuck in a choppy range, what cross-market signals from bonds, the dollar, and gold may say about confidence in the U.S. economy, and why apartment landlords may be able to manage a wave of refinancing pressure. They also break down why car prices are getting harder to compare, how early retirees can think about health insurance before Medicare, why AI may be becoming too interconnected to fail, and the difficult tradeoffs facing first-time homebuyers.

A quiet week for economic data is being overshadowed by rising diesel prices, new refinery strikes in Russia, and uncertainty over how long global fuel pressure can last.

Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong discuss why diesel has climbed above $6.50 for the first time, how attacks on Russian refineries and Middle East disruptions are tightening global supply, and why high diesel prices hit the economy differently than high gasoline prices. They also break down the impact on home heating oil, food costs, trucking, and household budgets, plus the Paramount and Warner Brothers Discovery merger settlement, U.S.-China talks, and concerns about how DraftKings uses AI to target gamblers most likely to lose.